US Dollar Index Stays Weak Below 97 Ahead of Fed.

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  US Dollar Index holds defensive stance below 97.00 ahead of Fed policy announcement. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback’s performance against a basket of six major currencies, remains under pressure near 96.70 as investors strengthen their expectations for a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut later on Wednesday. Markets widely anticipate a 25-basis point (bps) cut at the Fed’s September meeting, following signs of cooling in the US labour market. According to the CME Fed Watch Tool, traders are pricing in nearly a 100% probability of a quarter-point cut, while a small minority continues to speculate on the chance of a larger, half-point reduction. Attention now turns to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference and the release of the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), or ‘dot-plot,’ which could provide crucial guidance on the future trajectory of US interest rates. “The dollar is trading with a heavy tone across the board as investors brace for a dovish messa...

  U.S. industrial production is on the rise, exceeding expectations and reversing its previous decline. The latest data shows that U.S. Industrial Production-a—a key gauge of inflation-adjusted output from manufacturers, mines, and utilities—posted a modest but positive uptick. Production rose by 0.1%, marking a notable turnaround in the sector’s performance. This increase exceeded expectations of no growth (0.0%) and stands in contrast to the prior month’s 0.4% decline. The shift from contraction to expansion highlights a rebound in the industrial sector and suggests a potential boost to the U.S. economy. Even though the gain is slight, it carries bullish implications for the U.S. dollar. Industrial production is a critical indicator of economic health, reflecting demand across manufacturing, mining, and utilities. Rising output often indicates stronger demand, which can lead to higher employment and broader economic growth. As such, the unexpected gain could have positive spillov...